Establishing Best Practices for Threat Assessment Measurement and Models
So what?
Today’s terrorism threat is particularly pernicious given how diffuse it is both in perpetrator and in target. Reducing the potential for harm, therefore, must occur on two fronts — making valid assessments of the potential threats using scientifically grounded and valid tools, and better securing soft targets, which require a lower level of sophistication for attack and tend to be especially vulnerable.
Summary
This project creates materials outlining best practices for prevention and intervention using lessons from the United Kingdom, law enforcement, and assessment of emerging and insider threats.
Purpose/Objectives
This project is divided into three main tasks:
- Evaluate prevention programming and identify best practices by allies abroad.
- Evaluate soft target security and approaches for quantifying potential vulnerabilities.
- Evaluate current threat assessments and threat management tools.
Method
A variety of methods will be used for each task.
Task 1- Evaluate current prevention programs, domestic and international
- Research best practices in interventions, reintegration, and counter-recidivism
- State of the science review
- Simulation modeling and analysis
Task 3
- State of the science review
- Panel interview
- Case study analyses of successful attacks and thwarted plots
- Practitioner survey
Sam Hunter, Ph.D.
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Paul Gill, Ph.D.
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